Assuming Sony actually releases it’s newest system as planned, here is my prediction for 3rd generation consoles (in terms of market share).
1. MS
2. Nintendo
3. Sony
MS had the “first to market” advantage, and while there were supply issues last year, I bet that’s not an issue this holiday shopping system. They also have a few games in the line-up which look phenomenal. Not that Sony doesn’t have comparable “fun factor” games, but 700 dollars for a system that includes a technology (blu-ray) which isn’t proven and is still very very expensive just isn’t going to fly. I could buy an Xbox360 and a Wii for the same price as one PS3. When you consider the timing of the PS2′s release, DVD technology was already on the market for a few years and it was relatively cheap. But blu-ray is expensive, and the current market battle feels a lot like the beta-vhs battle from back in the day. I think Sony is making a huge gamble, and while the Sony brand is still hot, I think they’ve dropped a bit in recent years (mostly as a result of their root kit, DRM music issues, etc.).
And once again, I think Nintendo is going to be the better system. I’ve said this time and time again, but it’s all about playability.
Wii–pronounced “we” and meant to conjure the idea of fun for everyone–will be going head-to-head against PlayStation 3, the upgrade from industry leader Sony, to woo game fans during holiday shopping.
“We want to propose a new lifestyle with Wii,” Iwata said. “We want everyone in the family to play with it everyday.”
Wii is considerably cheaper than PlayStation 3, set to sell for $499 and $599, depending on the features, and 59,800 yen in Japan.
More critically, PlayStation 3, initially planned for earlier this year, has been postponed twice. The decision to delay PlayStation 3 in Europe for four months until March was announced last week.
Plans were unchanged for US and Japan sales, but far fewer consoles are expected to be available at the launch, with about 400,000 PlayStation 3 machines when they go on sale in the US Nov. 17, and 100,000 on the Nov. 11 Japan launch date.
In a demonstration Thursday, Nintendo showed Wii will come with an Internet browser, and can be used to look at and edit digital photos on a TV monitor.
What they lack in “power,” they’re making up for with “fun.”
Wii can also be used to get weather forecasts and news reports, features that are meant to widen the machine’s appeal to people not used to games, Iwata said. Games for older Nintendo consoles will be offered as downloads, he said.
Another appeal of Wii is that users will be able to create their own game characters. Nintendo game designer Shigeru Miyamoto played a game of tennis on Wii with Japanese tennis star Ai Sugiyama, swinging the remote controller like a racket on the stage. And the characters playing tennis on the monitor were created to resemble Miyamoto and Sugiyama.
The handheld controller vibrates in time to the virtual racket hitting the ball, and the slapping sounds are also synchronized with the moves.
Nintendo says Wii, which offers easy-playing games, meant to appeal to people regardless of gender, age or skills, won’t be competing directly against PlayStation 3 or Microsoft Corp.’s Xbox 360 because Wii targets a different audience.
Another interesting article regarding Sony and Wii.